... because he is a horrible candidate and would likely be a horrible president.
Some of my close friends and family members think supporting Biden's bid for the Dem nomination is a good idea because he seems to them to be the safe choice and he is associated with a very popular president, Obama.
If you insist on listening to predictions from pollsters, Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris:
https://news.uchicago.edu/story/nate-silver-predicts-messy-2020-democratic-primary-and-picks-favorite
If you insist on listening to predictions from pollsters, Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris:
https://news.uchicago.edu/story/nate-silver-predicts-messy-2020-democratic-primary-and-picks-favorite
My prediction is that Biden's chances of getting Trump out of office are worse than HRC's were in 2016 ... and worse than every other major 2020 contender.
My prediction is that Warren has the best chance because she doesn't divide the Dems by being too left (sorry Bernie, my 2016 choice) and because she seems to be the smartest and most able to lead. She is able to appeal to Trumpists who are starting to doubt The Orange One, and she doesn't threaten market-oriented Dems (conservative Dems) because she states clearly that she thinks "markets are good."
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/23/elizabeth-warren-i-am-a-capitalist-but-markets-need-rules.html
Biden is simply a horrible candidate with huge amounts of baggage--a proven record of losing/racism/sexism/being anti- choice/etc.--and a tendency to say and do very stupid things:
My prediction is that Warren has the best chance because she doesn't divide the Dems by being too left (sorry Bernie, my 2016 choice) and because she seems to be the smartest and most able to lead. She is able to appeal to Trumpists who are starting to doubt The Orange One, and she doesn't threaten market-oriented Dems (conservative Dems) because she states clearly that she thinks "markets are good."
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/23/elizabeth-warren-i-am-a-capitalist-but-markets-need-rules.html
Biden is simply a horrible candidate with huge amounts of baggage--a proven record of losing/racism/sexism/being anti-
https://www.youtube.com/watch? v=ZAymXlGSplU
Like HRC after 2016, he ran for POTUS twice and lost twice. Like HRC, Biden is a proven loser the Dem establishment argues HAS to be the nominee. Unlike HRC, Biden did very poorly in prior primaries ... so poorly that most Americans don't even know he ran for POTUS before.
His treatment of Anita Hill should disqualify him from running for any office, let alone POTUS:
https://www.youtube.com/watch? v=4oPnd911FcM&t=42s
Backing the early front-runner, the supposedly safest moderate Dem, no matter what their baggage, is the kind of thinking that lost the presidency in 2016. Establishment Dems and the liberal punditry have been horrible at predicting who is the best candidate to beat truly horrible Republicans: Nixon, Reagan, Bush 41, and Bush 43.
The Dem establishment is making a similar mistake on impeachment ... going with what they think is the wise, historically proven, civil approach ... when they are not wise, can't seem to interpret history very well, and should clearly stop trying to meet Republican nastiness with civility (remember Garland?!). The Dems should be talking more about the risks of NOT impeaching:
Pelosi is shirking her duty because she thinks it will keep Dems in power in the White House and in the House. What kind of track record does she have with keeping Dems in power? "House Democrats have a poor track record of winning majorities under her leadership."
Biden's track record is worse. See below:
https://www.washingtonpost. com/lifestyle/style/the- electability-delusion--and- why-the-media-keep-making-the- same-mistake/2019/06/14/ 495c3b12-8de9-11e9-b08e- cfd89bd36d4e_story.html?utm_ term=.c25ae3697222
http://nymag.com/ intelligencer/2019/04/frank- rich-biggest-threat-to-biden- 2020-is-biden-himself.html
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